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Canada by-elections 2026: Liberals lead all three races in preliminary results

OTTAWA, September 1 — Liberal candidates led all three federal by-elections held on August 31, according to Elections Canada’s preliminary results pages. Two ridings had all polls reporting when checked; North Vancouver–Capilano still showed 185 of 204 polls, so its figures remain incomplete.

Chicoutimi–Le Fjord

With 212 of 212 polls reporting, Liberal Daniel Gobeil had 16,235 votes, or 51.3%. Bloc Québécois candidate Caroline Dubé followed with 10,401 votes and 32.9%, while Conservative Régis Gaudreault had 3,962 and 12.5%.

Elections Canada listed 31,627 valid votes and preliminary turnout of 42.2% of registered electors, excluding people who registered on election day.

Beaches–East York

All 200 polls were reporting. Liberal Tanveer Shahnawaz had 18,361 votes, or 55.7%. NDP candidate Shannon Devine had 8,512 votes and 25.8%, and Conservative Jim Syrbos had 5,116 and 15.5%.

The official page listed 32,973 valid votes and 40.39% preliminary turnout, again excluding election-day registrations from the denominator used on the page.

North Vancouver–Capilano

At the last update displayed, Liberal Braeden Caley had 14,612 votes and 58.4%, ahead of Conservative Stephen Curran on 7,163 and 28.6%. Green candidate Shelley Luce had 2,248 and 9.0%.

Only 185 of 204 polls — 90.69% — were shown as reporting. The page listed 25,008 valid votes and turnout of 28.05%, but both totals can change as remaining polls are added.

Why the word preliminary matters

Election-night results are updated as returns arrive and precede the official validation process. A lead can be reported, but an incomplete page should not be described as a certified final result. Turnout percentages shown on election night also exclude some same-day registrations.

The three races can be compared as results, but they are not a national opinion poll. Local candidates, turnout and riding circumstances differ, so the outcome should not be extrapolated into a precise forecast for another election.

Archive photograph: an Elections Canada polling-station sign in Toronto in 2015. This is not a photograph from the August 2026 by-elections. Photo: Ishmael N. Daro, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0.

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